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Hagemeyer experiences tough first half

July 1, 2002
After a weak first quarter as anticipated, market conditions for the Group's core PPS and other activities have remained weak throughout the second quarter. However sales and operating profit development in the second quarter has been worse than anticipated in some of our key PPS markets, notably the UK and Nordics and as a result it is estimated that the PPS division's adjusted organic growth will be 4.6% negative for the first half year. These developments will adversely impact the Group's results for both the first half and the full year. This impact as described below is almost entirely due to the soft global market conditions. The PPS division as a whole has improved its already strong market position. This gives us confidence as we continue to implement our strategic change program, ...
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After a weak first quarter as anticipated, market conditions for the Group's core PPS and other activities have remained weak throughout the second quarter. However sales and operating profit development in the second quarter has been worse than anticipated in some of our key PPS markets, notably the UK and Nordics and as a result it is estimated that the PPS division's adjusted organic growth will be 4.6% negative for the first half year. These developments will adversely impact the Group's results for both the first half and the full year. This impact as described below is almost entirely due to the soft global market conditions. The PPS division as a whole has improved its already strong market position. This gives us confidence as we continue to implement our strategic change program, that Hagemeyer will be well positioned to take advantage of upturns in its markets as they occur.



Taking each of our key markets in turn:


PPS


ユ Europe



The developments in European economies have led to volume and margin pressure. The construction and installation (C&I) markets have declined and this has led to a year on year reduction in sales to customers in this segment. Sales to industrial customers, a Hagemeyer strategic initiative, however developed positively during the first six months of the year. This is primarily a result of adding new customers although as a result of the softness in the economy the build up of sales has not been as fast as we had anticipated.


UK


Hagemeyer UK has improved its market share, however markets have noticeably softened in the second quarter which has had an adverse impact on both sales and gross margins.



At the same time expense levels have been under pressure which combined with the softness in sales has led to a significant drop in UK operating income.



Expense levels were under pressure primarily for the following reasons:


ユ Hagemeyer UK has suffered a temporary increase in pension costs prior to changing the pension scheme to a defined contribution scheme in April.


ユ As part of the strategic change program the sales teams have been integrated and reorganised into two key divisions, electrical and industrial with further customer segmentation therein, the procurement function has been centralised, ICT and transport outsourced, a new shared service centre opened and the new regional distribution centre at Runcorn is nearing completion. The resulting redeployment of a significant number of staff has led to a temporary increase in costs.


ユ Hagemeyer UK is in the middle of the roll out phase of its new ICT platform which started at Eastern Electrical and Parkers. To support the further roll out to the rest of the UK group a new ICT infrastructure has been put in place. The associated increase in costs will be more than offset through structurally lower expense levels after the UK roll out has been completed.



The completion of the change program will give us a business and ICT platform capable of delivering superior and sustainable growth in UK earnings.


Nordics


In the Nordics the negative growth in the first quarter of the year in C&I sales has continued throughout the second quarter and the rate of growth in industrial sales has diminished significantly, particularly in telecoms. The reduction in economic activity has led to a lower build up of sales from outsourcing contracts already won, whilst costs for the fulfilment of these new contracts, including telecoms in Brazil, are being incurred, leading to temporary pressure on operating margins.


Central Europe


In Germany the construction and installation markets have continued to significantly underperform with no sign of recovery despite further consolidation in the sector.



In Bavaria the new logistics model, based around regional distribution centres, has been successfully tested and will be rolled out in

Central Europe over the next two years. This together with the restructuring of the branch network in turn will lead to structurally lower expense levels. In addition, the headcount reduction program announced in late 2001 is expected to be completed by the end of the year.


ユ North America



The severe downturn in the major sectors in which we operate in the US, such as industrial manufacturing, oil and gas, communications and electrical contracting continued throughout the first six months of 2002. As a result of our mutual dependency with our customers on the current market conditions, we experienced double digit negative organic growth versus the first half of 2001, when we were one of the few distributors in our industry still experiencing positive organic growth.



The continuing slow economy is having an impact on the development of the gross margin. Customers are striving to immediately reduce expenses in relation to a declining sales base. Purchasing professionals are being charged with creating price savings rather than supply chain cost reduction, where Hagemeyer is strong. We do not consider this reliance on the targeting of immediate price reductions as a long term trend. In the short term, however, it is a factor which impacts the current year's financial results and hampers our goal of sustainable profitable expansion of our integration and outsourcing services.


While we continue to be extremely cost conscious, further cost reductions have to be balanced against the need to preserve our capability to provide value added solutions through the business cycle. Thus, the combination of gross margin pressure and in particular the declining sales volumes will severely impact our US operating margins.



In spite of the tough conditions experienced in the first half of 2002, we integrated the sales forces of our three operating companies into one Hagemeyer North American sales team, organised on clearly defined customer segments. This increases our customer focus, facilitates cross-selling and broadens our product and service offering to the market.


ユ Asia-Pacific



In Australia PPS markets are slowly recovering and HEG is expected to achieve positive organic growth in the second quarter of 2002.



ITPS


Although markets remain deeply depressed with accompanying pressure on gross margins, Tech Pacific is gaining market share in most of its key markets. In combination with stringent cost control, operating margins are expected to slightly increase in the first half of 2002 compared to the same period last year.



Other Businesses


Our European and US consumer electronics businesses are feeling the full impact of the economic slowdown, whilst on the other hand HCL continues to perform strongly. Despite pressure on consumer spending the financial performance of our Other Businesses continues to be satisfactory.


Earnings outlook


Against the background of a strong performance in the first half of 2001 with reported organic growth of 4.3% and a 10% increase in cash earnings per share, the lower volumes experienced in the second quarter of 2002 together with continued pressure on margins and costs means that we now estimate that cash earnings per share for the first half of the year will be approximately 40% below the same period last year.


As our markets started to decline in the second half of 2001, the basis for comparison of our results for the remainder of the current year will be lower. However, we do not yet see momentum being generated in our markets and anticipate that trading conditions for the rest of the year will continue to be challenging. This makes it difficult to predict with any accuracy results for the full year. As stated earlier, it is important to emphasize that we will continue with the implementation of our strategic change process and be in a position to take advantage of upturns in our markets as they occur.

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