The 2020 Mid-Year Economic Update_long

Canadian Wholesale Sales Down 0.3% in July

By volume, wholesale sales were down 0.6 percent.

Following three consecutive monthly gains, Canadian wholesale sales decreased 0.3 percent to C$52.9 billion (US$48.3 billion) in July. Declines in five subsectors, which together represented 81 percent of wholesale sales, more than offset an increase in the motor vehicle and parts subsector. Excluding this subsector, wholesale sales declined 1 percent.

In volume terms, wholesale sales were down 0.6 percent.

The miscellaneous subsector contributed the most to the decline in July, 3.7 percent to C$6.6 billion (US$6.03 billion), the lowest level in four months. The agricultural supplies industry (-8.1 percent) was the largest contributor to the decline. The colder and wetter spring weather in the Western provinces contributed to higher than normal sales in June and lower than normal sales in July.

Lower sales were also recorded in the other miscellaneous industry (-5.5 percent) and the paper, paper product and disposable plastic product industry (-3.8 percent). The other miscellaneous industry includes wholesalers of logs and wood chips, minerals, ores and precious metals, and second-hand goods (excluding machinery and automotive goods) as well as wholesalers not elsewhere classified.

Sales in the food, beverage and tobacco subsector declined 1.1 percent to C$10.3 billion (US$9.41 billion), mostly offsetting the increase recorded in June. Prior to this decline, sales had advanced in seven of the preceding nine months. The food industry (-1.1 percent) led the decline in July.

The machinery, equipment and supplies subsector decreased 0.7 percent to C$11 billion (US$10.1 billion), following three consecutive monthly gains. Lower sales at the other machinery, equipment and supplies industry (-2.5 percent), down for first time in six months, as well as the farm, lawn and garden machinery and equipment industry (-1.7 percent), down for the fourth time in five months, accounted for the decline.

For the first time in 2014, the building material and supplies subsector registered a decrease, falling 0.3 percent to C$7.6 billion (US$6.9 billion). The decline in the lumber, millwork, hardware and other building supplies industry (-2.2 percent), its first in eight months, more than offset the gains recorded elsewhere in the subsector.

The motor vehicle and parts subsector rose 3.1 percent to C$9.4 billion (US$8.6 billion) in July, on the strength of higher sales in the motor vehicle industry (+4.4 percent). Exports and manufacturing sales of motor vehicles also saw strong growth in July.

In July, lower sales were recorded in five provinces. Saskatchewan contributed the most to the decline. Ontario and Quebec, two of the largest provinces in terms of wholesale sales, recorded relatively flat growth.

In Saskatchewan, sales fell 6.1 percent to C$2 billion (US$1.8 billion) in July, the lowest level recorded thus far in 2014. The agricultural supplies industry was an important contributor to the province's decline.

Sales in Newfoundland and Labrador fell 13.3 percent to C$382 million (US$349 million), more than offsetting the gain in June. This was the third decrease in four months for the province.

Following two consecutive months of strong gains, sales in New Brunswick declined 7.5 percent to C$525 million (US$479.8 million), as a result of widespread decreases across subsectors, led by the food, beverage and tobacco subsector.

British Columbia slipped 0.5 percent to C$5.1 billion (US$4.7 billion) in July, a second consecutive sales decline, while Alberta edged down 0.2 percent to C$7.1 billion (US$6.5 billion), its first decrease in seven months.

Ontario rose 0.2 percent to C$25.7 billion (US$23.5 billion), a fourth consecutive increase on the strength of higher sales in the motor vehicle and parts subsector, while Quebec edged up 0.1 percent to C$9.6 billion (US$8.8 billion), a third consecutive increase.

Sales in Nova Scotia rose 2 percent to C$758 million (US$692.6 billion), a third increase in four months. The gains were widespread across subsectors.

Inventories recorded a seventh consecutive gain in July, rising 1 percent to C$66.5 billion (US$60.8 billion). Gains were recorded in all subsectors.

The largest gain in dollar terms was in the motor vehicle and parts subsector (+2.9 percent), a second consecutive increase.

The building material and supplies subsector (+1.1 percent), the personal and household goods subsector (+0.6 percent), and the food, beverage and tobacco subsector (+1.2 percent) all recorded a fifth consecutive monthly increase. In addition, inventories rose for the sixth consecutive month in the miscellaneous subsector (+0.9 percent) and a seventh consecutive month in the machinery equipment and supplies subsector (+0.2 percent).

The inventory-to-sales ratio increased from 1.24 in June to 1.26 in July. The inventory-to-sales ratio is a measure of the time in months required to exhaust inventories if sales were to remain at their current level.

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