The 2020 Mid-Year Economic Update_long

Second Estimate: Real GDP Up 2.2% in Q1

Growth decelerates in first quarter, according to Bureau of Economic Analysis data.

Real gross domestic product increased at an annual rate of 2.2 percent in the first quarter of 2018, according to the second estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In comparison, real GDP increased 2.9 percent in the fourth quarter of 2017.

The second estimate is down compared to the advance estimate of 2.3 percent released a month earlier. However, the general picture of economic growth remains the same, according to the BEA. Downward revisions to private inventory investment, residential fixed investment, and exports were partly offset by an upward revision to nonresidential fixed investment.

The increase in real GDP in the first quarter reflected positive contributions from nonresidential fixed investment, personal consumption expenditures (PCE), exports, private inventory investment, federal government spending, and state and local government spending that were partly offset by a negative contribution from residential fixed investment. Imports, which are a subtraction in the calculation of GDP, increased.

The deceleration in real GDP growth in the first quarter reflected decelerations in PCE, exports, state and local government spending, and federal government spending and a downturn in residential fixed investment. These movements were partly offset by an upturn in private inventory investment and a larger increase in nonresidential fixed investment. Imports, which are a subtraction in the calculation of GDP, decelerated.

Current-dollar GDP increased 4.2 percent, or $202.7 billion, in the first quarter to a level of $19.96 trillion. In the fourth quarter, current-dollar GDP increased 5.3 percent, or $253.5 billion.

The price index for gross domestic purchases increased 2.7 percent in the first quarter, compared with an increase of 2.5 percent in the fourth quarter. The PCE price index increased 2.6 percent, compared with an increase of 2.7 percent. Excluding food and energy prices, the PCE price index increased 2.3 percent, compared with an increase of 1.9 percent.

 

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