Advance: U.S. Durable Goods Orders Drop 6.1% in January - Modern Distribution Management

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Advance: U.S. Durable Goods Orders Drop 6.1% in January

Driven by a sharp decline in commercial aircraft orders, it was the sharpest one-month drop since April 2020’s 19.3%.
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New orders for U.S.-made durable goods — products meant to last three years or more — sunk 6.1% month-to-month in January, weighed down by a steep decline in bookings for commercial aircraft that was driven by a lull for Boeing passenger planes.

Excluding transportation — down three of the past four months — new orders decreased 0.3%

Economists polled by the Wall Street Journal had forecasted a decline of 5%. It was the sharpest one-month decline since April 2020’s 19.3% plummet amid economic shutdowns at the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic.

The Census Bureau’s monthly advance report issued Feb. 27 showed that new orders for durable goods totaled $276.7 billion in January. It followed a revised 0.3% decline in December (was flat in advance report).

The monthly figure illustrated further recent volatility for durable goods orders, which has alternated a considerable drop or rise with a flat or marginal increase or gain over the past eight months, comprised of three increases between 4.0%-5.4% and three decreases between 5.6%-6.1% and two declines of 0.1 and 0.3%.

Excluding defense, new orders fell 7.3%.

Shipments of manufactured durable goods — down four of the past five months — decreased 0.9% in January month-to-month to $279.0 billion, following a 0.6% December decrease (revised down from advance -0.3%). Transportation likewise drove the decrease with a -3.3% impact.

U.S. Durable Goods Orders, Month-to-Month % Change


Here’s how monthly new orders and shipments of different durable goods product categories fared in January, seasonally-adjusted, according to Census Bureau data:

Primary Metals

  • Shipments: -1.0%
  • New Orders: -1.7%

Fabricated Metal Products

  • Shipments: -0.2%
  • New Orders: -0.9%


  • Shipments: +1.3%
  • New Orders: 0.0%

Computers and Electronic Products

  • Shipments: +0.3%
  • New Orders: +1.4%

Electrical Equipment, Appliances and Components

  • Shipments: +2.1%
  • New Orders: +0.9%

Transportation Equipment

  • Shipments: -3.3%
  • New Orders: -16.2%

All Other Durable Goods

  • Shipments: -0.1%
  • New Orders: -0.5%

Capital Goods

  • Shipments: -2.4%
  • New Orders: -15.0%

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