December U.S. Industrial Production Jumps as Boeing Strike Ends - Modern Distribution Management

December U.S. Industrial Production Jumps as Boeing Strike Ends

December marked the first monthly increase since September, as output in most nondurable categories increased.
ISM October 2020

U.S. industrial production drastically increased in December, following three consecutive monthly decreases.

The Federal Reserve’s latest Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization report, issued on Jan. 17, showed production increased 0.9% in December month-to-month, exceeding all forecasts of economists polled by major news outlets. Production fell 0.1% in November.

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At 103.2% of its 2017 average, total industrial production increased 0.5% year-over-year. Capacity utilization moved up to 77.6%, which is 2.1-percentage-points below its long-run (1972-2023) average.

Total December production was impacted by an increase of 0.6% in manufacturing that was boosted by a 1.8% and 2.1% increase in mining and utilities, respectively.

Additionally, the gains in the output of aircraft and parts contributed 0.2-percentage-points to total growth following the resolution of the Boeing strikes.

United States Total Industrial Production Index – Month-Over-Month


source: tradingeconomics.com

Market Groups

The majority of market groups saw gains in December. The index for consumer goods increased 0.5%, as an increase in nondurables production offset a broad-based decline in durables. Nondurable goods increased 0.7%, supported by a gain of 1.9% in the index for energy.

Business equipment showed a positive gain with a 1.4% increase in December, driven by the increase in production of civilian aircraft.

Industry Groups

Manufacturing output increased 0.6% in December month-to-month and was equal to its year-earlier-level. Nondurable manufacturing saw an increase of 0.7%, with gains in all its subcomponents. Similarly, the index for other manufacturing (publishing and logging) increased 0.8%.

Specific industrial groups such as aerospace and miscellaneous transportation equipment (+6.3%) and primary metals (+1.7%) saw increases in the month of December.

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Mining output increased 1.8% in December month-to-month, and utilities likewise increased 2.1%, supported by a gain in natural gas utilities (+6.2%).

Capacity utilization for manufacturing ticked up 0.4-percentage-point in December to 76.6%.

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