Signs Pointing to Growth? Or a Double-Dip Recession? - Modern Distribution Management

Log In

Signs Pointing to Growth? Or a Double-Dip Recession?

Inconsistent recovery making many feel like forecasts have been the equivalent of reaching for a Magic Eight Ball.
jenel-white
Author
Date

The latest round of economic news may have people thinking economists are checking the equivalent of a Magic Eight Ball for answers. From signs pointing to growth (The Conference Board) to "unusual uncertainty" (Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke) to growing fears for a double-dip recession, forecasts run the gauntlet.

We Deliver Distribution News to Your Inbox
Sign up below to receive MDM Update, your free weekly distribution news update by email.

\"\"

Part of the problem may lie in the fact that recovery is occurring at such an inconsistent rate. For example, low positive numbers in the residential housing market over the past few months need to be taken with a grain of salt because, to quote David Gordon, president of Channel Marketing Group, "They had to get better because they sure couldn't get any worse." (The June housing starts report had the market falling again.)

At the same time, industrial sectors – arguably among the hardest hit – seem to be boasting a more robust recovery, at least for some companies.

In its second-quarter earnings call, WESCO (No. 5 on the top 25 electrical distributors) indicated it experienced 25 percent year-over-year growth in the industrial end market. The construction end market grew only 4 percent in the same period for the distributor.

One respondent to the second-quarter Distribution Survey from MDM and Baird may have summed the situation up best: "The economy is relatively difficult to gauge – 'fragile' is the key word.'"

Get the latest economic indicators with the MDM Economy News RSS feed or at the MDM Databank.

Get sector-specific economic data from Adam Fein's Wholesale Distribution Economic Reports

Share this article

About the Author
Recommended Reading
Leave a Reply

Leave a Comment

Sign Up for the MDM Update Newsletter

The MDM update newsletter is your best source for news and trends in the wholesale distribution industry.

Get the MDM Update Newsletter

Wholesale distribution news and trends delivered right to your inbox.

Sign-up for our free newsletter and get:

  • Up-to-date news in a quick-to-read format
  • Free access to webcasts, podcasts and live events
  • Exclusive whitepapers, research and reports
  • And more!

2

articles left

Want more Premium content from MDM?

Subscribe today and get:

  • New issues twice each month
  • Unlimited access to mdm.com, including 10+ years of archived data
  • Current trends analysis, market data and economic updates
  • Discounts on select store products and events

Subscribe to continue reading

MDM Premium Subscribers get:

  • Unlimited access to MDM.com
  • 1 year digital subscription, with new issues twice a month
  • Trends analysis, market data and quarterly economic updates
  • Deals on select store products and events

1

article
left

You have one free article remaining

Subscribe to MDM Premium to get unlimited access. Your subscription includes:

  • Two new issues a month
  • Access to 10+ years of archived data on mdm.com
  • Quarterly economic updates, trends analysis and market data
  • Store and event discounts

To continue reading, you must be an MDM Premium subscriber.

Join other distribution executives who use MDM Premium to optimize their business. Our insights and analysis help you enter the right new markets, turbocharge your sales and marketing efforts, identify business partners that help you scale, and stay ahead of your competitors.

Register for full access

By providing your email, you agree to receive announcements from us and our partners for our newsletter, events, surveys, and partner resources per MDM Terms & Conditions. You can withdraw consent at any time.

Learn More about Custom Reports

Request a Market Prospector Demo

  • This field is for validation purposes and should be left unchanged.