Advance: U.S. Wholesale Inventories Rose 0.5% in April, Missing Forecasts - Modern Distribution Management

Advance: U.S. Wholesale Inventories Rose 0.5% in April, Missing Forecasts

Wholesale inventories continued to climb in April after sharp gains in February and March, though the latest advance came in below market expectations — a possible sign that recent stockloading is cooling.
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U.S. wholesale inventories increased again in April, though at a slower-than-expected pace after a sharp buildup over the previous two months.

The U.S. Census Bureau’s May 29 Advance Economic Indicators Report showed that merchant wholesale inventories — adjusted for seasonal variations and trading day differences, but not for price changes — ended April at $938.6 billion. That was up 0.5% from March and 3.4% from April 2025.

April’s gain followed a revised 1.5% month-to-month jump in March, which the Census revised upward from its preliminary estimate of 1.3%. That came after inventories increased 0.9% in February and declined 0.3% in January.

Credit: TradingEconomics

The latest figure suggests inventories remained elevated entering the second quarter, but that the pace of accumulation moderated after the February-March surge. April’s 0.5% increase was also below market forecasts of 0.8%, signaling that stockloading may be starting to cool after wholesalers built inventories aggressively earlier in the year.

Recent gains have likely reflected some frontloading as companies worked to secure stock amid disruptions tied to the Iran War and Strait of Hormuz conflict. That dynamic appears to have been most pronounced in March, when wholesale inventories posted their strongest monthly gain of the recent stretch, before easing in April to a still-solid advance.

The April report showed a split between durable and nondurable goods. Durable goods inventories rose 0.9% month-to-month to $584.6 billion and were up 2.3% year-over-year. Nondurable goods inventories declined 0.2% from March to $354.0 billion, though they remained 5.2% above April 2025 levels.

Retail inventories also climbed in April, rising 0.7% from March to $827.3 billion. That was up 3.0% from April 2025. Retail inventories excluding motor vehicles and parts increased 0.6% month-to-month, while motor vehicle and parts dealers’ inventories rose 0.9%.

Credit: TradingEconomics

The Census Bureau’s full June wholesale trade report — reflecting data through April — is scheduled for a June 9 release.

See the complete Census monthly figures below for U.S. International Trade in Goods (Seasonally-Adjusted) by product category, and for U.S. Inventories by broader industry group

Table A. U.S. International Trade in Goods — Seasonally Adjusted

Category April 2026 March 2026 February 2026 % Change Apr/Mar % Change Mar/Feb % Change Apr 2026/Apr 2025
Balance -82,400 -85,269 -81,737 — — —
Exports 219,670 211,200 205,262 4.0% 2.9% 15.6%
Foods, Feeds & Beverages 14,969 15,020 14,004 -0.3% 7.3% 9.5%
Industrial Supplies 88,254 86,401 81,574 2.1% 5.9% 17.8%
Capital Goods 71,258 66,280 65,136 7.5% 1.8% 20.6%
Automotive Vehicles, etc. 12,832 13,201 12,927 -2.8% 2.1% 5.6%
Consumer Goods 22,777 21,133 23,076 7.8% -8.4% 6.8%
Other Goods 9,579 9,166 8,545 4.5% 7.3% 8.2%
Imports 302,070 296,469 286,999 1.9% 3.3% 9.6%
Foods, Feeds & Beverages 17,455 17,405 16,822 0.3% 3.5% -5.5%
Industrial Supplies 53,082 54,129 51,813 -1.9% 4.5% 2.2%
Capital Goods 126,673 119,971 118,237 5.6% 1.5% 40.1%
Automotive Vehicles, etc. 34,673 35,214 32,172 -1.5% 9.5% 4.6%
Consumer Goods 55,976 56,526 54,040 -1.0% 4.6% -19.8%
Other Goods 14,211 13,225 13,914 7.5% -5.0% 19.6%

Table B. U.S. Inventories — Adjusted

Category April 2026 March 2026 April 2025 % Change Apr/Mar % Change Mar/Feb % Change Apr 2026/Apr 2025
Merchant wholesale trade, total 938,640 934,259 907,841 0.5% 1.5% 3.4%
Durable goods 584,610 579,653 571,279 0.9% 0.5% 2.3%
Nondurable goods 354,030 354,606 336,562 -0.2% 3.2% 5.2%
Retail trade, total 827,304 821,385 803,269 0.7% 0.7% 3.0%
Total excl. motor vehicles & parts 562,474 558,869 550,704 0.6% 0.6% 2.1%
Motor vehicle & parts dealers 264,830 262,516 252,565 0.9% 1.1% 4.9%

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