January U.S. Industrial Production Exceeds Expectations - Modern Distribution Management

January U.S. Industrial Production Exceeds Expectations

Industrial production increased in January, driven by gains in utilities and business equipment despite declines in manufacturing and mining.
Industrial Production August 2020

U.S. industrial production increased in January, following a drastic gain in December.

The Federal Reserve’s latest Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization report, issued on Feb. 14, showed production increased 0.5% in January month-to-month, exceeding market expectations of a 0.3% rise polled by major news outlets. Production increase 1.0% in December.

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At 103.5% of its 2017 average, total industrial production increased 2.0% year-over-year. Capacity utilization moved up to 77.8%, which is a 1.8-percentage-points below its long-run (1972-2023) average.

Total January production was impacted by an increase of 0.2% in manufacturing that was boosted by a 7.2% increase in utilities.

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However, January was negatively impacted by a decline in manufacturing output by 0.1%, held back by a decrease in motor vehicles and parts of 5.2%. Likewise, mining fell 1.2% in January.

United States Total Industrial Production Index – Month-Over-Month


Source: tradingeconomics.com

Market Groups

The majority of market groups saw gains in January. The index for consumer goods increased 0.8%, as an increase in the production of nondurables consumer goods offset a decline in the production of durable consumer goods. The nondurables increase was supported by gains in energy an chemical products.

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Business equipment showed a positive gain with a 2.1% increase in January, driven by a strong increase in the production of civilian aircraft.

Industry Groups

Manufacturing output decreased 0.1% in January month-to-month. Nondurable manufacturing saw a decrease of 0.3%, with decreases in four categories — food, beverage and tobacco products, printing and support, petroleum and coal products an plastics and rubber products. In contrast, the index for other manufacturing (publishing and logging) increased 0.3%.

Mining output decreased 1.2% in January month-to-month, while utilities increase 7.2%, supported by a gain in electric (6.1%) and natural gas utilities (15.4%).

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Capacity utilization for manufacturing ticked down by 1.9-percentage-points in January to 76.3%.

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